Dead Cat Bounce? Bitcoin Price Recovery Could be Short-Lived

Bitcoin (BTC) is hunting to get back poise just after its drop to two-month lows on Sunday, but the restoration will likely be quick-lived, the technical charts suggest.

At push time, BTC is altering fingers at $6,825 on Bitfinex – up 3 % from the two-month small of $6,619.

The restoration could be involved with excessive oversold conditions highlighted by the relative toughness index (RSI) yesterday and could be extended even more in the next 24 hours.

Nonetheless, crossing $7,000 in a convincing method will be less complicated mentioned than performed, as the area all-around the psychological hurdle is packed with essential technical resistance strains. Even more, the extensive duration charts have turned bearish, so holding on to gains higher than $7,000 will be a challenge for BTC’s bulls.

For this reason, the restoration could change out to be a dead cat bounce – a short-term restoration in a bear market that is followed by a resumption of the downtrend.

Day by day chart

On the way higher, BTC could face stiff resistance at May well 29 small of 7,040 (previous support turned resistance). Curiously, the pennant floor (previous support) is also lined up at $7,040.

Even more, a essential Fibonacci retracement stage is positioned all-around $7,000, as observed in the chart under.

Hourly chart

The 38.2 % Fibonacci retracement of the most recent leg down in costs is $7,008.

What is more, the cryptocurrency is having difficulties to obtain acceptance higher than $6,859 (23.6 % Fibonacci retracement). The failure to defeat a significantly less vital Fibonacci hurdle only indicates how challenging it could be for bitcoin to scale $7,008 (38.2 % Fibonacci hurdle).

The bearish relocating averages could also complicate the restoration in bitcoin costs. The 50-hour, 100-hour and 200-hour relocating averages (MAs) are all trending south indicating a bearish setup.

In the meantime, the extensive duration charts are biased to the bears much too.

Every month chart

The bearish crossover among the 5-month and 10-month MA also indicates the tide has turned in favor of the bears.

Weekly chart

As discussed yesterday, the draw back split of the pennant pattern has revived the bear market and opened the doorways for a drop under the February small of $6,000. The pennant breakdown also provides credence to BTC’s bearish close under the 50-week MA in May well.

And, previous but not the the very least, the charts also show there is a lot of space to the draw back as a significant support is observed specifically at $6,000 (Feb small). A violation there would open up draw back towards $4,496 (100-week relocating ordinary) and $3,300 (trendline drawn from the August 2015 small and March 2017 small).

Check out

  • A small corrective rally could be in the offing, but will likely run out of steam higher than $7,000.
  • The broader outlook remains bearish with bitcoin likely to take a look at $6,000 in a week or two.
  • Only a day-to-day close (as per UTC) higher than the 10-working day MA, presently observed at $7,376, would abort the bearish perspective.

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